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| #631634 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 12.Sep.2013) TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 1100 PM AST THU SEP 12 2013 ONCE AGAIN DEEP CONVECTION HAS LARGELY DISAPPEARED NEAR THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 35 KT...BUT THIS COULD BE GENEROUS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD AND IS ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM IN 36 HOURS OR PERHAPS A LITTLE SOONER. GABRIELLE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 015 DEGREES AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. GABRIELLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ON FRIDAY...AND THE NHC TRACK IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE MODEL GUIDANCE THROUGH DISSIPATION. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0300Z 35.1N 67.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 13/1200Z 38.0N 66.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 14/0000Z 43.8N 64.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
