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#631749 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 13.Sep.2013) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 1500 UTC FRI SEP 13 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 31.3W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 70SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 31.3W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 30.9W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.4N 32.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 70SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 26.3N 35.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 27.4N 37.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 28.5N 39.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.7N 42.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 32.8N 45.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 36.5N 44.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 31.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |