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| #632017 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:45 PM 14.Sep.2013) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM INGRID INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 100 PM CDT SAT SEP 14 2013 ...INGRID EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE THIS AFTERNOON... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.9N 94.4W ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM E OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COATZACOALCOS TO CABO ROJO INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST. INGRID IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN TO THE WEST IS ANTICIPATED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...INGRID WILL REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGES AND INFORMATION FROM THE METEOROLOGIST ONBOARD THE NOAA JET SUGGEST THAT AN EYE COULD FORMING. INGRID WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...PRIMARILY IN GUSTS... ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY MONDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY EVENING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
