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#632502 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 16.Sep.2013) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 1500 UTC MON SEP 16 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 43.2W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......160NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 43.2W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 42.9W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.2N 43.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...160NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.5N 44.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 40SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.2N 44.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 60SE 30SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.1N 45.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 80SE 40SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 33.1N 44.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...200NE 90SE 50SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 36.7N 40.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 44.7N 32.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 43.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |