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| #632580 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 16.Sep.2013) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 400 PM CDT MON SEP 16 2013 ...INGRID WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.7N 99.0W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM W OF LA PESCA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WARNINGS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WARNINGS OR WATCHES IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND INGRID IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...A RAINFALL TOTAL OF 5.47 INCHES...139 MM...HAS OCCURRED AT CABEZONES MEXICO. WIND...GUSTS TO TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. STORM SURGE...HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW SHOULD SUBSIDE THIS EVENING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
