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| #632650 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 16.Sep.2013) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 1000 PM CDT MON SEP 16 2013 ...SLOW-MOVING INGRID PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLOODS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.7N 99.4W ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM W OF CIUDAD VICTORIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WAS LOCATED BY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND THE BROWNSVILLE NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DATA NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED UNTIL INGRID DISSIPATES ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND INGRID IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON TUESDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...GUSTS TO TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. STORM SURGE...HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
