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#635842 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 AM 03.Oct.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112013 1100 AM AST THU OCT 03 2013 ...JERRY LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR SO... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.0N 40.2W ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A NORTHEASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND JERRY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |