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| #636654 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 05.Oct.2013) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122013 1000 PM CDT SAT OCT 05 2013 ...KAREN WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.1N 91.9W ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM WSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS OR WATCHES IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY. HOWEVER...A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST IS FORECAST MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KAREN WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY...AND MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF COAST FROM ALABAMA TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KAREN IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY MONDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...KAREN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND SOUTHEASTERN STATES THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...MAINLY NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
