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| #640120 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 21.Oct.2013) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 2100 UTC MON OCT 21 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 54.9W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 54.9W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 55.2W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.5N 53.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.9N 52.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.3N 51.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.9N 49.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 54.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
