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| #646191 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:48 AM 19.Nov.2013) TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 0900 UTC TUE NOV 19 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 54.6W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT.......120NE 120SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT.......270NE 240SE 180SW 240NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 570SE 570SW 390NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 54.6W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 54.7W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 32.6N 53.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 35.3N 50.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.4N 45.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 41.3N 39.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 210SE 210SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 46.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...270NE 240SE 210SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 52.0N 27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 54.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
