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| #646684 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:59 AM 21.Nov.2013) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 1500 UTC THU NOV 21 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL AZORES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 34.8W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 28 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 210SE 150SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 360SE 540SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 34.8W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 36.4W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 41.1N 30.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 210SE 180SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 42.0N 24.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 42.2N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...300NE 180SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 41.2N 17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...240NE 60SE 120SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N 34.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
