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#646783 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:45 PM 21.Nov.2013) TCPAT4 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 1100 PM AST THU NOV 21 2013 ...MELISSA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...GALE-FORCE WINDS STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.5N 29.0W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM NNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST EXPECTED BY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL AZORES TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |