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| #6520 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 29.Aug.2004) TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM GASTON DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004 GASTON CONTINUES ITS TREK INLAND OVER SOUTH CAROLINA AND IT SHOULD BE MOVING INTO NORTH CAROLINA LATER TONIGHT. THE CYCLONE IS NOW BARELY OF TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND IT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. GASTON WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ALONG/NEAR ITS PATH. THE MOTION CONTINUES AT AROUND 360/7. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED IS PREDICTED...AS THE CYCLONE BEGINS TO FEEL THE INFLUENCE OF A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND THEN GET ABSORBED INTO A FRONTAL SYSTEM. HOWEVER...PRIOR TO THIS...THE LARGER CIRCULATION OF GASTON IS EXPECTED TO ABSORB TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IN THE 48 HOUR TIME FRAME. SINCE GASTON SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER LAND...THE REMAINING TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED IN A FEW HOURS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 33.9N 79.6W 35 KT...INLAND 12HR VT 30/0600Z 35.2N 79.2W 30 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 30/1800Z 37.0N 78.0W 30 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 31/0600Z 39.5N 75.0W 30 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 31/1800Z 41.5N 71.0W 30 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 01/1800Z 46.0N 61.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 02/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM |
