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#6791 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 31.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072004 0900Z TUE AUG 31 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 73.8W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 73.8W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 74.8W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 40.0N 70.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 42.3N 64.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 75SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 45.1N 56.2W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 48.5N 46.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z...EXTRATROPICAL EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...EXTRATROPICAL OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...EXTRATROPICAL REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.4N 73.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN |