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#699965 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 04.Jul.2014) TCMAT1 HURRICANE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 0300 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NANTUCKET * CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE * NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH... ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 68.7W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 27 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 60SE 45SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 100SE 70SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 300SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 68.7W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.3N 69.6W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 44.0N 66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 100SE 70SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 160SE 140SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 46.5N 63.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 48.5N 59.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...160NE 220SE 160SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 51.5N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 160SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 58.0N 51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 160SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 60.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 61.5N 44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.2N 68.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |