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| #707435 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 03.Aug.2014) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 2100 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 73.2W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 100SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 73.2W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 72.7W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.8N 73.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 29.0N 74.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 32.6N 73.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 35.7N 71.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 40.5N 63.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 46.0N 53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 50.0N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 73.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
