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| #712849 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:04 AM 25.Aug.2014) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 500 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014 ...CRISTOBAL EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.5N 72.8W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM ENE OF SAN SALVADOR ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHT FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND CRISTOBAL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS MORNING. STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS THIS MORNING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
