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| #712977 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 PM 25.Aug.2014) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 2100 UTC MON AUG 25 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 72.5W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 72.5W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 72.6W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.6N 71.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 180SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.9N 71.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 180SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.2N 70.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 180SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 33.4N 68.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 180SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 38.1N 60.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 200SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 44.3N 47.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 51.5N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 72.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
