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#713000 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:12 PM 25.Aug.2014) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 800 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014 ...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENING WHILE SLOWLY MEANDERING... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.0N 72.0W ABOUT 665 MI...1075 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 100 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. CRISTOBAL HAS BEEN MEANDERING IN A GENERALLY EASTWARD DIRECTION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY...AND PASS TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF BERMUDA ON WEDNESDAY. REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND CRISTOBAL IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES... 335 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |