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| #713199 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 26.Aug.2014) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 500 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014 ...CRISTOBAL FORECAST TO PASS NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA ON WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.8N 71.4W ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A FASTER NORTHEASTWARD MOTION ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...IN ADDITION TO ONGOING RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER BERMUDA. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO NORTH CAROLINA...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST LATER THIS WEEK. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
