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| #713200 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 26.Aug.2014) TCMAT4 HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 2100 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 71.4W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT.......180NE 210SE 70SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 120SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 71.4W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 71.4W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.7N 71.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 32.9N 70.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.2N 67.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 50SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 60NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 210SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 38.0N 62.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 120SE 70SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 240SE 120SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.5N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 150SE 90SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 150SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 52.5N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 60.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 71.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
