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| #713402 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 27.Aug.2014) TCMAT4 HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 71.4W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 190SW 220NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 71.4W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 72.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.4N 69.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.3N 63.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 130SE 80SW 30NW. 34 KT...210NE 245SE 130SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N 55.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 130SE 90SW 40NW. 34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.3N 47.8W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 270SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 53.5N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 220SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 60.0N 27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N 71.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
