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| #718008 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:02 AM 16.Sep.2014) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 1500 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 57.8W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 250SE 220SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 57.8W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 57.7W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 33.0N 57.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 140SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.7N 54.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 38.4N 50.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 160SE 180SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 40.3N 45.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 160SE 180SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.0N 38.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 140SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N 35.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 38.0N 32.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 57.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
