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| #723621 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:02 AM 12.Oct.2014) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 500 AM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 ...CENTER OF FAY PASSES OVER BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.4N 64.6W ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM ENE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.6 WEST. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FAY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM BERMUDA IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER BERMUDA THROUGH THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RAINFALL...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS BERMUDA. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY FAY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-FACING SHORES OF BERMUDA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS |
