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| #724122 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 13.Oct.2014) TCMAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0300 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. MAARTEN HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST. MAARTEN WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND ST. CROIX HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * ST. MARTIN * ANGUILLA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. MAARTEN * ST. BARTHELEMY * PUERTO RICO * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 63.4W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 63.4W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 63.1W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.8N 64.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.5N 66.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.1N 67.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.5N 68.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.3N 67.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 31.5N 65.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 37.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 63.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
