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| #724372 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 14.Oct.2014) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 500 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2014 ...GONZALO BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC... ...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.2N 66.0W ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM E OF GRAND TURK ISLAND ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GONZALO. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR FROM SAN JUAN NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST. GONZALO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST BY LATE WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GONZALO WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GONZALO IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...NOAA BUOY 41043 LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF GONZALO REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 49 MPH...80 KM/H AND A GUST TO 56 MPH...91 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
