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| #724867 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 16.Oct.2014) TCMAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 2100 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 68.2W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......130NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 210SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 68.2W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 68.4W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 28.7N 67.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.1N 65.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.3N 64.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 130SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 39.0N 60.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 200SE 160SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 50.5N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 100SE 80SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 240SE 200SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 55.0N 21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 68.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
