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| #725146 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 PM 17.Oct.2014) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 1100 PM AST FRI OCT 17 2014 ...LARGE EYE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE GONZALO MOVING AWAY FROM BERMUDA... ...DAMAGING WINDS AND A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE OCCURRING AGAIN... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.7N 64.5W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NNE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR... * ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RESUME ON BERMUDA SHORTLY... AND CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL FOLLOW FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS AFTERWARDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED BY THE BERMUDA RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 64.5 WEST. GONZALO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H. A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE EYE OF GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND PASS JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH FASTER WEAKENING FORECAST TO OCCUR BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON WHEN GONZALO MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 60 MPH...96 KM/H AND A GUST TO 74 MPH...119 KM/H WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT THE BERMUDA AIRPORT. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 84 MPH...135 KM/H AND A GUST TO 119 MPH...191 KM/H WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT AN ELEVATED OBSERVATION SITE AT COMMISSIONER'S POINT BERMUDA. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 58 MPH... 94 KM/H AND A GUST TO 97 MPH...156 KM/H WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT AN ELEVATED OBSERVATION SITE AT ST. DAVIDS BERMUDA NEAR THE AIRPORT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 951 MB...28.09 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RESUME SHORTLY ON BERMUDA AS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE EYEWALL PASSES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ISLAND. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES OF HILLY TERRAIN ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN AT THE SURFACE...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE EVEN GREATER. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN BERMUDA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. RAINFALL...GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER BERMUDA. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...AND BERMUDA. SWELLS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
