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| #725326 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 18.Oct.2014) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 500 PM AST SAT OCT 18 2014 ...GONZALO ACCELERATING RAPIDLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AS A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.3N 60.0W ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR... * ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.0 WEST. GONZALO IS MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 36 MPH...57 KM/H. THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED MAINTAIN THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION TONIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PASS CLOSE TO OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY LATE SUNDAY WHEN IT MOVES OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND BY EARLY SUNDAY. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
