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| #7410 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:06 PM 04.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004 1500Z SAT SEP 04 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST TO ALTAMAHA SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ...ON THE WEST COAST...FROM ANNA MARIA ISLAND AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE PENNISULA TO JUST SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY ON THE SOUTHEAST COAST...AND FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR FLORIDA BAY. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO ST. MARKS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO JUST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO ST. MARKS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 78.8W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 90NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. 50 KT.......125NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. 34 KT.......160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..350NE 180SE 180SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 78.8W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 78.5W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.3N 79.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. 50 KT...125NE 110SE 80SW 110NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 28.0N 81.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...125NE 75SE 25SW 75NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.5N 83.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.5N 85.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 32.0N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 34.5N 89.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 39.6N 86.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 78.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA |
