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| #7633 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 08.Sep.2004) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004 2100Z WED SEP 08 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA OF COLOMBIA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD... INCLUDING PORT AU PRINCE. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO WESTWARD TO PEDERNALES. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 67.7W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW. 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 35SW 100NW. 34 KT.......140NE 125SE 50SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 140SE 140SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 67.7W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 67.0W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.2N 69.8W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 100NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 100NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.0N 74.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.5N 77.0W OVER JAMAICA MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.5N 80.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 22.5N 82.0W OVER CUBA MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 26.0N 83.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 67.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA |
