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#769021 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 AM 10.May.2015) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 10 2015 ...ANA LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.1N 78.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM N OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning south of Little River Inlet South Carolina to South Santee River South Carolina has been discontinued. The Tropical Storm Warning north of Surf City North Carolina to Cape Lookout North Carolina has been discontinued SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Little River Inlet South Carolina to Surf City North Carolina Interests elsewhere in eastern North Carolina and Virginia should monitor the progress of Ana. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ana was located near latitude 34.1 North, longitude 78.9 West. Ana is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h) and a turn toward the northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Ana will move over eastern North Carolina later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Ana is expected to weaken to a tropical depression later today. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area for the next few hours. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach 1 to 2 ft above ground at times of high tide in coastal areas from Cape Hatteras, North Carolina southward through South Carolina. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Ana is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches over eastern portions of North Carolina and northeast South Carolina through Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Ana are affecting portions of the southeastern U.S. coast. These swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please see statements issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch |