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| #778940 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 16.Jun.2015) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022015 1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015 ...BILL EXPECTED TO SOAK PORTIONS OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 97.0W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM N OF VICTORIA TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued west of Port O'Connor. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Port O'Connor to San Luis Pass Texas For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bill was located near latitude 29.5 North, longitude 97.0 West. Bill is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue on Wednesday with a turn to the northeast on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Bill is expected to become a tropical depression early Wednesday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. These winds are confined to a few rainbands to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bill is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over eastern Texas and eastern Oklahoma and 3 to 6 inches over western Arkansas and southern Missouri. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in Texas and Oklahoma. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring within the warning area, but these winds should begin to subside soon. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Upper Texas and Western Louisiana coasts...1 to 2 feet The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast to the southeast of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur over parts of east-central Texas through early Wednesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila |
