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| #797104 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 21.Aug.2015) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 1100 AM AST FRI AUG 21 2015 ...DANNY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.0N 48.2W ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Danny. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Danny was located near latitude 14.0 North, longitude 48.2 West. Danny is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the west is expected on Saturday or Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Danny is about to encounter a less conducive environment, and weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Danny late this afternoon. Danny remains a tiny hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |
