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| #797174 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 21.Aug.2015) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 2100 UTC FRI AUG 21 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 49.1W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 49.1W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 48.6W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.0N 50.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.5N 52.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.9N 55.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 57.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 18.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.5N 71.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 49.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
