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| #797248 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 PM 21.Aug.2015) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 0300 UTC SAT AUG 22 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 49.8W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 45SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 49.8W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 49.3W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.1N 51.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.6N 53.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N 56.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.4N 59.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.6N 63.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.0N 68.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 20.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 49.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
