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| #797292 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 22.Aug.2015) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 0900 UTC SAT AUG 22 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 50.8W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 45SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 50.8W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 50.3W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.4N 52.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.8N 55.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 57.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.8N 60.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.1N 64.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.7N 69.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 21.0N 74.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 50.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
