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| #797501 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 22.Aug.2015) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 1100 PM AST SAT AUG 22 2015 ...DANNY WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 54.7W ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten * Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the U. S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of Danny. Additional watches or warnings could be required for portions of these areas on Sunday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 54.7 West. Danny is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Sunday night. A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast on Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Danny is expected to be near the Leeward Islands Sunday night or Monday morning. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm force winds are possible within the watch area by late Sunday night. RAINFALL: Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over the Leeward Islands through Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown/Berg |
