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| #797697 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 23.Aug.2015) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 500 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2015 ...DANNY WEAKENING WHILE IT APPROACHES THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 59.0W ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten * Puerto Rico * Vieques * Culebra * U.S. Virgin Islands For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 59.0 West. Danny is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a westward to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center will move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands late tonight or early Monday, and into the northeastern Caribbean Sea on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Danny is expected to become a tropical depression on Monday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area by tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible elsewhere over the Leeward Islands from Guadeloupe northward overnight. RAINFALL: Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over the Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
