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| #799893 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:38 PM 31.Aug.2015) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 800 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015 ...CENTER OF FRED NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 25.0W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cape Verde Islands For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 25.0 West. Fred is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the west- northwest is expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center will be moving away from the Cape Verde Islands. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm or hurricane conditions will continue over portions of the Cape Verde Islands for the next few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater. STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. RAINFALL: Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
