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#799975 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 01.Sep.2015) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 500 AM AST TUE SEP 01 2015 ...FRED CONTINUING TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 26.1W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the Cape Verde Islands The tropical storm warning will likely be discontinued by this afternoon. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 26.1 West. Fred is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fred will continue to move away from the northwestern Cape Verde Islands today. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue affect portions of the northwestern Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater. Tropical storm conditions are expected to subside by this afternoon as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands. STORM SURGE: High seas and rough surf conditions will gradually subside today as Fred moves farther away from the Cape Verde Islands. RAINFALL: Rainfall will be diminishing across the northwestern Cape Verde Islands this morning as Fred continues to move away from the Cape Verde Islands. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |