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#800193 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 02.Sep.2015) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 500 AM AST WED SEP 02 2015 ...FRED WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 30.1W ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 30.1 West. Fred is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in forward speed during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Fred is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by this afternoon or tonight, and degenerate into a remnant low on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |