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| #801010 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 05.Sep.2015) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 1500 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 41.8W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 41.8W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 41.5W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.9N 42.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.5N 43.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.5N 41.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.5N 40.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.5N 37.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.0N 34.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 33.0N 32.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 41.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
