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| #801102 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 05.Sep.2015) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072015 2100 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 26.4W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 26.4W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 25.7W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.9N 28.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.2N 30.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 13.5N 33.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.9N 36.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.8N 42.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 15.1N 48.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 15.7N 53.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 26.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
