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#802032 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 09.Sep.2015) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082015 2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 60.4W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 60.4W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 60.6W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 31.9N 60.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 33.9N 61.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.9N 60.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 40.7N 59.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 47.0N 51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...90NE 100SE 90SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 48.5N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 48.0N 18.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 60.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |