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#803357 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 21.Sep.2015) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 1100 PM AST MON SEP 21 2015 ...IDA POORLY ORGANIZED... ...SLOWING DOWN FURTHER... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.7N 49.5W ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ida was located near latitude 21.7 North, longitude 49.5 West. Ida is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the north and northeast with a substantial decrease in forward speed is expected tonight and early on Tuesday. A slow eastward or east- southeastward motion is expected later Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain |