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#803559 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 28.Sep.2015) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 500 PM EDT MON SEP 28 2015 ...DEPRESSION SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH AT THIS TIME... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.5N 70.2W ABOUT 465 MI...745 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven was located near latitude 27.5 North, longitude 70.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a turn toward the west-northwest is expected over the next day or two. Reports from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected overnight, but the depression could become a tropical storm on Tuesday. The Air Force plane measured a minimum central pressure of 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch/Hayes |