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| #803667 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:38 PM 29.Sep.2015) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 2100 UTC TUE SEP 29 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOAQUIN. WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS LATER THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 71.0W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 71.0W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 70.8W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 25.8N 71.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 25.1N 73.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.8N 73.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.0N 74.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 29.0N 73.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 34.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 71.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
