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| #803676 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:38 PM 29.Sep.2015) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 2100 UTC MON SEP 28 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 70.2W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 70.2W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 70.0W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.7N 71.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.9N 72.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.3N 72.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 28.6N 73.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 30.0N 74.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 33.0N 74.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 38.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 70.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/HAYES |
