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#803685 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:42 PM 29.Sep.2015) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 0300 UTC MON SEP 28 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 68.7W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 68.7W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 68.6W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 27.7N 69.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 27.9N 69.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 70.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 28.8N 70.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 31.0N 71.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 68.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |